Contraception, 60(6), 357-360
A significant number of women worldwide use periodic abstinence as their method of family planning. Many of them use some type of calendar-based approach to determine when they should abstain from unprotected intercourse to avoid pregnancy; yet they often lack correct knowledge of when during their menstrual cycle they are most likely to become pregnant. A simple method of natural family planning (NFP) based on a fixed formula to define the fertile window could be useful to these women. This article reports the results of an analysis of the application of a fixed formula to define the fertile window. A large existing data set from a World Health Organization study of the Ovulation Method was used to estimate the theoretical probability of pregnancy using this formula. Information about the variable probability of pregnancy on different cycle days relative to ovulation also was considered in the analysis. Results suggest that a fixed formula in which days 8-19 of the menstrual cycle are considered to be the fertile window would provide the appropriate basis of a simple, effective, family planning method.
Arévalo, M., Sinai, I., & Jennings, V. (1999). A fixed formula to define the fertile window of the menstrual cycle as the basis of a simple method of natural family planning. *Contraception*, *60*(6), 357-360. https://doi.org/10.1016/s0010-7824(99)00106-7
Arévalo M, Sinai I, Jennings V. A fixed formula to define the fertile window of the menstrual cycle as the basis of a simple method of natural family planning. Contraception. 1999;60(6):357-360. doi:10.1016/s0010-7824(99)00106-7
Arévalo, M., et al. "A fixed formula to define the fertile window of the menstrual cycle as the basis of a simple method of natural family planning." *Contraception*, vol. 60, no. 6, 1999, pp. 357-360.