Assisted Reproduction Outcomes and Effectiveness
RRM Academy Synopsis
Conceptions ending in birth fell 26.6% in British Columbia, June 2020
Conceptions that ended in births fell 26.6% in British Columbia in June 2020, compared with June 2019, in a registry cohort study of 304,244 women giving birth. IVF conceptions ending in birth fell in March 2020 and neared expected levels by June.
Key Findings
- In June 2020, conceptions resulting in births numbered 237.4 per 100,000 women of reproductive age, against an expected 306.7 (95% CI: 288.8–324.6), a 26.6% decrease from June 2019.
- In February 2020, IVF conceptions resulting in births numbered 9.9 per 100,000 women of reproductive age. The rate fell in March and reached 10.6 in June 2020 against an expected 12.1.
- IVF accounted for 3.5% (14,714) of conceptions before the pandemic and 2.4% (292) of conceptions during it, among 429,843 conceptions in total.
- The proportion of conceptions resulting in stillbirths stayed between 0.2% and 0.7% from 2010 to 2020 and peaked at 0.5% in May 2020.
- In June 2020, gestational diabetes prevalence was 16.5% versus 13.8% expected, and gestational hypertension was 7.9% versus 6.5% expected. The authors call both increases slight.
Interpretation
This cohort study followed 429,843 conceptions ending in birth. The data came from the British Columbia Perinatal Data Registry, which holds over 99% of births in the province. Researchers compared monthly rates with rates forecast from earlier years. The authors tie the IVF decline to the suspension of non-urgent fertility services in March 2020. They link the broader drop in conceptions to couples choosing to delay pregnancy during that period. The findings support further study of how service suspensions affect conception timing and IVF access.
RRM Context
IVF depends on clinic schedules. The registry shows IVF conceptions falling the month non-urgent services were paused. Restorative reproductive medicine builds care around a couple's cycle charting and a cause-based evaluation of both partners. Charting happens at home. A couple's cycle record goes on when clinics close.
Abstract
To investigate the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic's onset on clinical and demographic characteristics, pregnancy complications, and monthly conception rates resulting in births through spontaneous conceptions and in-vitro fertilization (IVF) in British Columbia (BC), Canada.
This retrospective population-based cohort study examined individuals who gave birth (both live births and stillbirths) in BC between June 1, 2010, and March 31, 2021, with estimated conception dates from January 1, 2010 to June 30, 2020. Data were obtained from the BC Perinatal Data Registry. Two groups were identified based on the estimated conception date: the pre-pandemic conception group (conception from January-1-2010 to February-29-2020) and the pandemic conception group (conception from March-1-2020 to June-30-2020). A time series forecasting method (ARIMA) was employed to observe trends in conception rates during the study period.
304,244 individuals with pregnancies resulting in live births or stillbirths during the study period were evaluated. A total of 429,843 such conceptions were included in the study: 417,753 (97.2%) occurring before the onset of the pandemic and 12,090 (2.8%) in the pandemic period. In June 2020, conceptions resulting in births decreased by 26.6% compared with June 2019. Trends in conceptions resulting in live births were similar, with a conception rate of 235.2 per 100,000 women of reproductive age in June 2020, compared with the expected rate of 305.0 per 100,000. In March 2020, 0.5% of conceptions that resulted in births ended in stillbirths, compared to 1.7% in March 2019. IVF conceptions ending in births declined during the pandemic, dropping to 2.5 and 2.8 per 100,000 in March and April 2020, respectively, compared with the expected 13.1 per 100,000. However, by June 2020, these rates began to recover toward the expected levels. Rates of gestational diabetes mellites (GDM), gestational hypertension (GHTN), and postpartum intensive care unit (ICU) admissions were similar before and during the COVID-19 pandemic.
During the challenging period of the COVID-19 pandemic in BC, couples may have chosen to delay conception. Rates of conceptions resulting in stillbirths remained relatively unchanged. IVF conception rates were impacted by the suspension of elective procedures. Preterm birth rates slightly exceeded expected levels but remained within normal fluctuations, and small increases in GDM and GHTN prevalence were also observed.


