Fertility Awareness · Effectiveness
Abstract
Do quantitative urinary hormone measurements on the Mira monitor predict and confirm ovulation accurately compared with ultrasound in women with regular menstrual cycles? Do Mira urine hormones correlate with serum hormones?
This was a prospective, single-centre, blinded diagnostic accuracy study with 52 women aged 19-44 years with regular cycles (24-38 days) who tracked 153 cycles over 18 months. Daily first-morning urine was tested with the Mira monitor for follicle stimulating hormone (FSH), oestrone-3-glucuronide (E13G), luteinizing hormone (LH) and pregnanediol glucuronide (PDG). Serial transvaginal ultrasounds (890 scans) confirmed the day of ovulation. Serum hormones were measured twice per cycle. The 121 ovulatory cycles from 49 participants with sufficient index test and reference standard data were included in the final analysis.
The Mira LH peak day strongly predicted ultrasound-confirmed ovulation (R² = 0.96, P < 0.001; intraclass correlation coefficient = 0.971), with 96% of ovulations occurring within ±1 day. The Mira PDG increase was also strongly associated with ultrasound-confirmed day of ovulation (R² = 0.87, P < 0.001). First-morning urine hormones were significantly associated with serum hormones when collected within 90 min (LH: R² = 0.92; E13G: R² = 0.73; FSH: R² = 0.61; PDG: R² = 0.75). Anovulatory cycles were identified in 11% of regularly cycling participants.
Quantitative urinary hormone monitoring with the Mira monitor provides accurate prediction and confirmation of ovulation, with strong urine-serum associations supporting reduced reliance on serial serum draws in select patients. These findings support clinical adoption of quantitative urinary fertility monitoring.
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By this author
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Rojas HE et al., 2026 · Journal of women's health (2002)
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Balachandran S et al., 2026 · Journal of obstetrics and gynaecology Canada : JOGC = Journal d'obstetrique et gynecologie du Canada : JOGC
To assess the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on reproductive outcomes in patients with recurrent pregnancy loss (RPL) and the influence of material and social deprivation on these outcomes. This retrospective cohort study included RPL patients seen at a specialized clinic between March 1, 2018, and February 28, 2022. Patients were categorized into two groups based on care period: pre-pandemic (March 1, 2018-February 29, 2020) and pandemic (March 1, 2020-February 28, 2022). Cumulative probabilities of birth were estimated using the cumulative incidence function within a competing risk framework, treating pregnancy loss as a competing event. Fine and Gray regression models calculated sub-distribution hazard ratio (sHR) of birth. 544 patients were included in the study, with 255 in the pre-pandemic group and 289 in the pandemic group. Individuals in the pandemic group were less likely to achieve pregnancy than those in the pre-pandemic group (relative risk = 0.50, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.39 - 0.66). Among those who conceived, the cumulative probability of live birth was 0.77 in both groups. Relative to individuals residing in high-social deprivation neighborhoods, those living in moderately deprived areas had higher sub-distribution hazards of live birth (adjusted sHR = 1.97, 95% CI 1.25 - 3.10; P = 0.003). Within specialized RPL care and a universal maternity care system, pregnancy rates were lower during the first two years of the COVID-19 pandemic. However, among those who conceived, the probability of achieving a live birth remained similar between the pre-pandemic and pandemic periods.
Modeling fertile window differences across the reproductive lifespan with quantitative urine hormone monitoring of the menstrual cycle
Bouchard TP et al., 2026 · Journal of ovarian research · Free to read
Reproductive hormones of the fertile window are often referenced to women in regular cycles, but this may not be representative of the hormonal profiles of women in different circumstances like polycystic ovarian syndrome, the postpartum period, and the perimenopause transition. This observational cohort study sought to identify the variability in the reproductive hormones in various clinical circumstances and to establish potential thresholds for each category based on hormone measurements with the Mira urinary hormone monitor. A total of 57 women (ages 22-51) in various circumstances (regular cycles, polycystic ovarian syndrome, postpartum and perimenopause) tracked Mira urine hormone measurements (estrone-3-glucuronide, luteinizing hormone, pregnanediol glucuronide), contributing 444 cycles of data. Using additive mixed models, hormone values were stratified by the four different reproductive categories. The perimenopause and polycystic ovarian syndrome groups demonstrated relative hypoestrogenic states, while the perimenopause group showed low luteal pregnanediol glucuronide and the polycystic ovarian syndrome/polyendocrine metabolic ovarian syndrome (PCOS/PMOS) group showed high luteal pregnanediol glucuronide. The perimenopause group had significantly higher luteinizing hormone values throughout the whole cycle. The fertile window hormone thresholds vary depending on a woman's specific reproductive category. Women in different circumstances should not necessarily use the same hormonal thresholds for the fertile window and ovulation. A larger dataset with ultrasound correlation to ovulation is required to delineate the fertile window with more precision. Hormone differences across the menstrual cycle could be used for targeted treatments in polycystic ovarian syndrome and perimenopause women.
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Bouchard TP et al., 2026 · Reproductive biomedicine online · Free to read
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Related research
Quantitative versus qualitative estrogen and luteinizing hormone testing for personal fertility monitoring
Bouchard TP et al., 2021 · Expert Rev Mol Diagn
A new fertility monitor is now available that provides quantitative measurement of urinary hormones, but clinical use requires validation against an established fertility monitor that provides only qualitative results. Two fertility monitors were compared using daily first morning urine samples over 3 cycles of use in 21 women users with experience using a fertility monitor with the Marquette Method of Natural Family Planning. Women were aged 33.4 ± 5.5 years and had menstrual cycles ranging between 23 and 41 days. The quantitative Mira Monitor estimates of ovulation were highly correlated with the qualitative ClearBlue Fertility Monitor (CBFM) estimates of ovulation. Both monitors provided an accurate estimate of the fertile window. In this preliminary trial, the Mira monitor was shown to be effective at delineating the fertile window and ovulation. We demonstrated the feasibility of applying the Marquette Method algorithm with the use of the Mira monitor. Satisfaction differences between the two monitors did not reach statistical significance. We anticipate that quantitative fertility monitoring will give couples and health-care providers new and unprecedented insights into the menstrual cycle and fertility.
Helping Patients to Predict and Confirm Ovulation with the Use of Combined Urinary Hormonal and Smartphone Technology: A Proof-of-Concept Retrospective Descriptive Case Series
Leiva R et al., 2024 · Seminars in reproductive medicine · Free full text on PubMed Central
Smartphone-based fertility awareness methods with home-based urinary hormonal testing are gaining popularity for fertility tracking. In our university-affiliated family practice, we integrated a previously developed ovulation tracking application into a protocol for monitoring urinary sex hormones and cervical secretions. Serum progesterone was used to confirm the luteal phase, with levels ≥ 15.9 nmol/L ensuring confirmation. Data from 110 women seen for infertility treatment (n = 95) or family planning advice (n = 15) and using our ovulation prediction protocol showed that most opted for a combination of cervical mucus and luteinizing hormone testing (n = 86). Among those using it for family planning, the median usage among women spanned 56 cycles, and 13 cycles per woman required progesterone testing for confirmation. Thirteen patients are still using the method without unintended pregnancies. No unintended pregnancies occurred. Confidence in tests based on serum progesterone was high (93%). For infertility, the method helped in the identification of anovulation, evaluating treatment response, and in diagnosing subfertility causes. This proof-of-concept retrospective descriptive case series suggests the potential for smartphone-based monitoring in fertility management, urging further studies for application enhancements and prospective validation.
Establishing a Gold Standard for Quantitative Menstrual Cycle Monitoring
Bouchard T et al., 2023 · Medicina (Kaunas, Lithuania) · Free full text on PubMed Central
The Quantum Menstrual Health Monitoring Study will measure four key reproductive hormones in the urine (follicle-stimulating hormone, FSH; estrone-3-glucuronide, E13G; luteinizing hormone, LH; and pregnanediol glucuronide, PDG) to characterize patterns that predict and confirm ovulation, referenced to serum hormones and the gold standard of the ultrasound day of ovulation in participants with regular cycles. These normal cycles will provide a reference for comparison to irregular cycles in subjects with polycystic ovarian syndrome (PCOS) and athletes. Participants will track their menstrual cycles for 3 months and be provided with an at-home urine hormone monitor (Mira monitor) to predict ovulation. The day of ovulation will be confirmed with serial ultrasounds completed in a community clinic. Urine results will be compared to serum hormone values. Other markers of menstrual health, such as bleeding patterns and temperature changes, will be determined using a customized app. Three groups will be recruited. Group 1 will include those with consistent regular cycle lengths (between 24-38 days), and will be compared to two groups with irregular cycle lengths (with increased cycle length variability and longer cycles). Group 2 will include those with polycystic ovarian syndrome (PCOS) with irregular cycles and Group 3 will include individuals participating in high levels of exercise with irregular cycles. Hypothesis: The Mira monitor quantitative urine hormone pattern will accurately correlate with serum hormonal levels and will predict (with LH) and confirm (with PDG) the ultrasound day of ovulation in those with regular cycles as well as those with irregular cycles. Once the ultrasound validation is complete, tools like the Mira monitor with a customized app may become a new standard for at-home and remote clinical monitoring of the menstrual cycle without having to use labor-intensive follicular-tracking ultrasound or follow serum hormone changes. Precision monitoring of the menstrual cycle is expected to impact individuals who want to increase their menstrual health literacy and guide decisions about fertility.
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Bouchard TP et al., 2025 · Womens Health Rep (New Rochelle) · Free full text on PubMed Central
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