Menstrual cycle pattern and fertility: a prospective follow-up study of pregnancy and early embryonal loss in 295 couples who were planning their first pregnancy
Kolstad, H. A., Bonde, J. P., Hjøllund, N. H., Jensen, T. K., Henriksen, T. B., Ernst, E., Giwercman, A., Skakkebaek, N. E., & Olsen, J. (1999). Menstrual cycle pattern and fertility: a prospective follow-up study of pregnancy and early embryonal loss in 295 couples who were planning their first pregnancy. Fertility and sterility, 71(3), 490-496. https://doi.org/10.1016/s0015-0282(98)00474-9
Kolstad HA, Bonde JP, Hjøllund NH, Jensen TK, Henriksen TB, Ernst E, et al. Menstrual cycle pattern and fertility: a prospective follow-up study of pregnancy and early embryonal loss in 295 couples who were planning their first pregnancy. Fertil Steril. 1999;71(3):490-496. doi:10.1016/s0015-0282(98)00474-9
Kolstad, H. A., et al. "Menstrual cycle pattern and fertility: a prospective follow-up study of pregnancy and early embryonal loss in 295 couples who were planning their first pregnancy." Fertility and sterility, vol. 71, no. 3, 1999, pp. 490-496.
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Women whose cycle length varied by 10+ days had lower pregnancy odds
In a Danish study of 295 couples planning a first pregnancy, women whose cycle length varied by about 10 days or more had a quarter of the odds of pregnancy per cycle (odds ratio 0.25). The comparison group was women whose cycle showed no variation. Follow-up lasted up to six cycles.
Key Findings
Overall, 139 of the 295 couples (47.1%) reached a recognized pregnancy during cycles 2 to 6 of follow-up.
Fecundity (pregnancy chance per cycle) with cycle length varying by about 10 days or more was about 25% of that with no variation (odds ratio 0.25, 95% confidence interval 0.09 to 0.68).
Crude fecundity was 0.26 with no variation in cycle length and 0.10 with variation of 10 or more days.
Fecundity was highest with a cycle length of 28 to 31 days and no variation, exceeding the lowest group by a factor of eight.
Of 128 conceptions, 106 were recognized pregnancies and 22 ended before recognition. The numbers were too small to confirm a difference in pregnancy survival by cycle pattern.
Interpretation
This prospective follow-up study reports an association between cycle pattern and pregnancy chance. The couples were healthy, aged 20 to 35, and had no earlier pregnancy. Each woman's pattern came from one observed cycle plus her reported usual length. Almost all cycles that varied by 10 or more days occurred in women with cycles longer than 31 days, so the two were hard to separate. The authors think the likely explanation is a disturbance in ovulation, conception, implantation, or sustained pregnancy. They had no information on the wider population the couples came from.
RRM Context
Restorative reproductive medicine is cycle-charting-informed, and cycle length is the basic record a chart keeps. This study grouped women by cycle length taken from a daily bleeding diary. The authors propose that finding the causes of abnormal cycle patterns may point to causes of infertility. They suggest women with variable cycles perhaps should be evaluated for infertility earlier. Sperm concentration was part of the adjusted analysis.
Our editorial summary of this paper, not the article's abstract.
Abstract
Objective
To characterize how the menstrual cycle pattern relates to fertility regardless of potential biases caused by inappropriate coital timing during the menstrual cycle or early embryonal loss.
Design
Prospective follow-up study.
Setting
Healthy couples recruited throughout Denmark.
Patients
Two hundred ninety-five couples who were planning their first pregnancy were followed up from the discontinuation of birth control until a pregnancy was recognized within six menstrual cycles. Early embryonal losses were detected by changes in urinary hCG levels.
Interventions
None.
Main Outcome Measures
The probability of pregnancy occurring within one menstrual cycle (fecundity).
Results
In women who had a cycle length that differed by >10 days from the usual cycle length, fecundity was approximately 25% that of women who had no variation (odds ratio 0.25, 95% confidence interval 0.09-0.68). When the combined effect of cycle variation and cycle length was assessed, cycle variation was a persistent strong predictor of fecundity.
Conclusions
The mechanisms of the present findings probably are female functional disturbances in ovulation, conception, implantation, or sustained pregnancy, linked with variable menstrual cycle length. Thus, identification of medical and environmental causes of abnormal menstrual cycle patterns may provide clues to the causes of infertility. Moreover, the menstrual cycle pattern also should be taken into consideration in the clinical decision-making process.
Biomedical science is rapidly developing in terms of more transparency, openness and reproducibility of scientific publications. This is even more important for all studies that are based on results from basic semen examination. Recently two concordant documents have been published: the 6th edition of the WHO Laboratory Manual for the Examination and Processing of Human Semen, and the International Standard ISO 23162:2021. With these tools, we propose that authors should be instructed to follow these laboratory methods in order to publish studies in peer-reviewed journals, preferable by using a checklist as suggested in an Appendix to this article.
Prescribing Safety · Medication Safety in Pregnancy
Bauer AZ et al., 2021·Nature reviews. Endocrinology·Free full text on PubMed Central
Paracetamol (N-acetyl-p-aminophenol (APAP), otherwise known as acetaminophen) is the active ingredient in more than 600 medications used to relieve mild to moderate pain and reduce fever. APAP is widely used by pregnant women as governmental agencies, including the FDA and EMA, have long considered APAP appropriate for use during pregnancy when used as directed. However, increasing experimental and epidemiological research suggests that prenatal exposure to APAP might alter fetal development, which could increase the risks of some neurodevelopmental, reproductive and urogenital disorders. Here we summarize this evidence and call for precautionary action through a focused research effort and by increasing awareness among health professionals and pregnant women. APAP is an important medication and alternatives for treatment of high fever and severe pain are limited. We recommend that pregnant women should be cautioned at the beginning of pregnancy to: forego APAP unless its use is medically indicated; consult with a physician or pharmacist if they are uncertain whether use is indicated and before using on a long-term basis; and minimize exposure by using the lowest effective dose for the shortest possible time. We suggest specific actions to implement these recommendations. This Consensus Statement reflects our concerns and is currently supported by 91 scientists, clinicians and public health professionals from across the globe.
Kettner LO et al., 2021·Human reproduction (Oxford, England)
Is fertility treatment with clomiphene citrate associated with an increased risk of childhood epilepsy, including specific subtypes of epilepsy? Fertility treatment with clomiphene citrate may be associated with a small increased risk of idiopathic generalized epilepsy and focal epilepsy in childhood. Clomiphene citrate is among the most commonly prescribed drugs for fertility treatment. However, concerns have been raised as to whether the treatment may harm the developing fetus. This nationwide cohort study included all pregnancies in Denmark from 1 July 1995 resulting in a live-born singleton child before 31 December 2013. The children were followed until 31 December 2016. Children conceived after fertility treatment with clomiphene citrate were identified from the Danish National Prescription Registry. The primary outcomes were childhood epilepsy, idiopathic generalized epilepsy, and focal epilepsy identified from the Danish National Patient Register and from antiepileptic drug prescriptions in the Danish National Prescription Registry. All analyses were conducted using Cox proportional hazards regression. A total of 1 081 291 pregnancies were included; 12 644 children (1.2%) developed epilepsy. Fertility treatment with clomiphene citrate was associated with a small increased risk of childhood epilepsy (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.10; 95% CI: 1.00-1.22), idiopathic generalized epilepsy (HR: 1.41; 95% CI: 1.16-1.72), and focal epilepsy (HR: 1.26; 95% CI: 1.04-1.53). The increased risk of idiopathic generalized epilepsy may be due to confounding from time stable parental characteristics related to treatment with clomiphene citrate, since the association was strongest with the lowest administered dosage of clomiphene citrate prior to conception, and the association disappeared in a sibling analysis. The increased risk of focal epilepsy may be related to the hormonal treatment, since the association tended to increase with increasing cumulative dosage of clomiphene citrate prior to conception, and the association persisted in a sibling analysis. This finding may be of clinical importance, since alternative hormones are available for fertility treatment. Financial support from Aarhus University and the Aase and Ejnar Danielsen Foundation. U.S.K. received personal teaching fees from Merck, outside the submitted work. N/A.
Dasharathy SS et al., 2012·Am J Epidemiol·Free full text on PubMed Central
Menstrual bleeding patterns are considered relevant indicators of reproductive health, though few studies have evaluated patterns among regularly menstruating premenopausal women. The authors evaluated self-reported bleeding patterns, incidence of spotting, and associations with reproductive hormones among 201 women in the BioCycle Study (2005-2007) with 2 consecutive cycles. Bleeding patterns were assessed by using daily questionnaires and pictograms. Marginal structural models were used to evaluate associations between endogenous hormone concentrations and subsequent total reported blood loss and bleeding length by weighted linear mixed-effects models and weighted parametric survival analysis models. Women bled for a median of 5 days (standard deviation: 1.5) during menstruation, with heavier bleeding during the first 3 days. Only 4.8% of women experienced midcycle bleeding. Increased levels of follicle-stimulating hormone (β = 0.20, 95% confidence interval: 0.13, 0.27) and progesterone (β = 0.06, 95% confidence interval: 0.03, 0.09) throughout the cycle were associated with heavier menstrual bleeding, and higher follicle-stimulating hormone levels were associated with longer menses. Bleeding duration and volume were reduced after anovulatory compared with ovulatory cycles (geometric mean blood loss: 29.6 vs. 47.2 mL; P = 0.07). Study findings suggest that detailed characterizations of bleeding patterns may provide more insight than previously thought as noninvasive markers for endocrine status in a given cycle.
Cycle Across the Lifespan · Cycle and General Health
Munster K et al., 1992·British Journal of Obstetrics and Gynaecology
To investigate the current epidemiology of menstrual patterns among women of fertile age. Cross-sectional postal questionnaire study. County of Copenhagen, Denmark. 3743 women, aged 15-44, selected at random from a Danish county, who were asked to provide information on menstrual pattern during the preceding year, 1981. The response rate was 78%. Information from non-responders was obtained via telephone interviews. In women with regular menstrual cycles, the 5th-95th centile range of usual cycle length decreased from 23-35 days in the 15-19 years age group to 23-30 days in the 40-44 years age group. Only 0.5% of regular menstruating women had a usual cycle length of less than 21 days and 0.9% had a usual cycle length of greater than 35 days. At least one cycle length of less than 21 days was experienced by 18.6%, whereas 29.5% had at least one cycle of greater than 35 days. Menstrual cycle variation of greater than 14 days was present in 29.3% of all women. Cycle length variation of greater than 14 days was 2.7 times more frequent in women from lower social groups (controlled by age). The study confirmed the normally used definitions of polymenorrhoea (cycle length less than 21 days) and oligomenorrhoea (cycle length between 36 and 90 days), as these very short or long menstrual cycle lengths were very seldom recorded for a longer period. However, the high frequency in a normal population of large menstrual cycle length variation challenges the view that an intra-individual variation of greater than 5 days should be regarded as a sign of disease in the woman.
Fehring RJ et al., 2006·J Obstet Gynecol Neonatal Nurs·Free to read
To determine variability in the phases of the menstrual cycle among healthy, regularly cycling women.
A prospective descriptive study of a new data set with biological markers to estimate parameters of the menstrual cycles. One hundred forty one healthy women (mean age 29 years) who monitored 3 to 13 menstrual cycles with an electronic fertility monitor and produced 1,060 usable cycles of data. Outcomes: Variability in the length of the menstrual cycle and of the follicular, fertile, and luteal phases, and menses. The estimated day of ovulation and end of the fertile phase was the peak fertility reading on the monitor (i.e., the urinary luteinizing hormone surge). Mean total length was 28.9 days (SD = 3.4) with 95% of the cycles between 22 and 36 days. Intracycle variability of greater than 7 days was observed in 42.5% of the women. Ninety-five percent of the cycles had all 6 days of fertile phase between days 4 and 23, but only 25% of participants had all days of the fertile phase between days 10 and 17. Among regularly cycling women, there is considerable normal variability in the phases of the menstrual cycle. The follicular phase contributes most to this variability.
Malliou-Becher MN et al., 2026·Human reproduction (Oxford, England)
What are the variations in ovulation time and menstrual cycle characteristics among and within various individuals over the course of 12 menstrual cycles? There are considerable variations in both cycle length and ovulation time, with pronounced intra-individual variability over a 12-cycle observation period. Although it is commonly believed that healthy women have regular cycles with a predictable mid-cycle ovulation, more recent research shows a significant variation in cycle length and ovulation time. Previous studies have focused only on cycle length, often excluding cycles outside the 25-35-day range, thus limiting the understanding of natural variation; they have also lacked precise ovulation diagnostics or included small sample sizes, making it difficult to capture the full scope of cycle and ovulation variability. Similarly, a recent big data study, while valuable, was limited by a self-selected group and the absence of accurate ovulation diagnostics, reducing its generalizability. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, This study was designed as a prospective long-term observational study, which involved collecting data from 1923 women with a total of 43 999 menstrual cycles from January 1985 to July 2019. After fulfilling the inclusion criteria, the main group consisted of 1051 women, all of whom contributed data for 12 cycles (12 612 cycles), including 420 conception cycles. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, Participants in the study were between 18 and 44 years of age at study entry and did not take any reproductive hormones. Women who were postpartum, breastfeeding, amenorrheic, or within a 3-month period after stopping hormonal contraception were excluded. Participants agreed to keep cycle records according to the symptothermal method, 'Sensiplan'. Ovulation time was determined using an evidence-based algorithm based on evaluating cervical mucus patterns and basal body temperature shifts, with ovulation time defined as the day before the temperature rise. Data analysis was descriptive, using absolute and relative frequencies, standard deviation, percentiles, and ranges. Age dependency was assessed using unpaired sample t-tests and one-way ANOVA. Linear regression was used to assess long-term trends. MAIN In 62.4% of women, cycle lengths varied by 1 week or more within 12 cycles. Accordingly, the time of ovulation varied by 1 week or more within 12 cycles in 54.8% of women, with 96.5% experiencing fluctuations of 4 days or more over the 12 months. The median spontaneous cycle length was 28 days, with a mean of 29.66 days (SD = 7.55). Only 52.7% of women consistently had cycle lengths between 23 and 35 days across all 12 cycles. Ovulation occurred most frequently between Days 12 and 16, with almost half of conceptions (45.7%) occurring after Day 16. A one-way analysis of variance revealed a significant reduction in mean cycle length with increasing age (P < 0.001), showing the shortest median cycle length of 27 days being in women aged 40-44 years. Age also impacted ovulation time, with women aged 35-39 years showing more stable ovulation patterns compared to younger women. Over the 34-year study period, average cycle length increased slightly but significantly (β = 0.0161, P = 0.0306), corresponding to approximately half a day. Intra-individual variability also showed a slight, but non-significant, upward trend (β = 0.0262, P = 0.2173). LIMITATIONS, Comorbidities such as hyperprolactinemia, obesity, and PCOS were not systematically excluded. However, by including only women with at least 12 cycles, the study largely avoided severe hormonal disorders. This study highlights the considerable individual variation of ovulation time and cycle length over 12 menstrual cycles. These findings contribute to a better understanding of fertility awareness, and highlight the implications for family planning and reproductive health management. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): The authors declare no conflicts of interest. No funding was provided. N/A.
PMID 10065787 10065787 DOI 10.1016/s0015-0282(98)00474-9 10.1016/s0015-0282(98)00474-9 Kolstad et al. 1999, Kolstad 1999
Cite this article
Kolstad, H. A., Bonde, J. P., Hjøllund, N. H., Jensen, T. K., Henriksen, T. B., Ernst, E., Giwercman, A., Skakkebaek, N. E., & Olsen, J. (1999). Menstrual cycle pattern and fertility: a prospective follow-up study of pregnancy and early embryonal loss in 295 couples who were planning their first pregnancy. Fertility and sterility, 71(3), 490-496. https://doi.org/10.1016/s0015-0282(98)00474-9
Kolstad HA, Bonde JP, Hjøllund NH, Jensen TK, Henriksen TB, Ernst E, et al. Menstrual cycle pattern and fertility: a prospective follow-up study of pregnancy and early embryonal loss in 295 couples who were planning their first pregnancy. Fertil Steril. 1999;71(3):490-496. doi:10.1016/s0015-0282(98)00474-9
Kolstad, H. A., et al. "Menstrual cycle pattern and fertility: a prospective follow-up study of pregnancy and early embryonal loss in 295 couples who were planning their first pregnancy." Fertility and sterility, vol. 71, no. 3, 1999, pp. 490-496.