Fertility Awareness Effectiveness

Pregnancies, intentions, and fertility behaviors during use of the Creighton Model FertilityCare System after initial intention to avoid pregnancy: Results from the Creighton Model effectiveness, intentions, behaviors assessment study

Stanford JB, Najmabadi S, Chang CE, Agyemang DO, Rivet K, Porucznik CA

Published July 29, 2025 PloS one, 20(7), e0328806
DOI 10.1371/journal.pone.0328806 PMID 40729325 PMC PMC12306780

RRM Academy Synopsis

Creighton Model couples' pregnancy rates differed by cycle intention

A prospective cohort of 296 Creighton Model couples who began with an intention to avoid pregnancy found that 13-cycle pregnancy rates differed by each cycle's intention. Rates were about 9 out of 10 (intention to conceive) and about 3 out of 10 (intention to avoid). In this cohort, baseline intentions were more strongly associated with pregnancy than cycle intentions.

9 in 10 women... (88%) conceived within a year using the Creighton Model. Source: Stanford et al. 2025, PMID 407293259 in 10 women... (88%) conceived within a year using the Creighton Model. Source: Stanford et al. 2025, PMID 407293259 in 10women...conceived within a year using the Creighton ModelSource: Stanford et al. 2025, PMID 40729325rrmacademy.org

Key Findings

  • Female and male partners reported concordant pregnancy intentions in 91.3% of cycles among 296 couples enrolled at 17 Creighton Model FertilityCare Centers in the United States and Canada.
  • Among cycles with a strong intention to avoid pregnancy, 29% included intercourse on a day of known fertility, and 44% included intercourse on a day of known or undetermined fertility.
  • In every sensitivity analysis, 13-cycle cumulative pregnancy rates ranged from 88.0% to 89.8% with a cycle intention to conceive and from 29.1% to 35.3% with a cycle intention to avoid.
  • Among 184 couples in the correct use analyses, the highest 13-cycle pregnancy rate for correct use to conceive was 89.6%, and the most restrictive definition of correct use to avoid gave 15.6%.
  • In the Cox regression model, baseline intentions of both partners for a child within 1 year or 1 to 2 years had the strongest positive hazard ratios, 1.87 to 3.38 with imputation.

Interpretation

The Creighton Model Effectiveness, Intentions, Behaviors Assessment (CEIBA) is a prospective cohort of couples followed for up to one year. Couples completed start-of-cycle questionnaires and daily chart diaries, and pregnancies were tracked. The women were aged 18 to 39, and the couples had no identified history that would reduce fertility. At baseline, 52% of the women wanted a child within 2 years, and 90% of users were first-time users. The authors suggest that baseline intentions are more relevant to pregnancy than cycle intentions among these users. The authors note that the charts in use did not record whether intercourse on certain non-fertile days occurred at the end of the day.

RRM Context

The Creighton Model FertilityCare System, developed by Dr. Thomas W. Hilgers and colleagues, is a method of fertility appreciation: couples record bleeding and vaginal discharge on a daily chart and use it either to avoid pregnancy or to conceive. Trained teachers instruct couples using a case management approach. Restorative Reproductive Medicine treats the ovulatory cycle as a vital sign, and daily charting gives both partners a shared record of that cycle.

Abstract

Background

Knowledge of the fertile and infertile phases of the menstrual cycle can be applied to conceive or to avoid pregnancy. Fertility intentions and sexual behaviors during the fertile time may influence whether and when pregnancy occurs. The Creighton Model FertilityCare System (CrMS) is a specific system of fertility appreciation used to conceive or to avoid pregnancy. The objective of this paper is to report intentions, behaviors, and pregnancy rates during use of the CrMS among couples who initially intended to avoid pregnancy.

Data and Methods

We analyzed a prospective cohort study conducted in 17 CrMS centers across the USA and Canada, following 296 couples for up to one year after onset of initial use of the CrMS to avoid pregnancy. Baseline data included demographics, motivations, and pregnancy intentions for each partner. Couples contributed 2894 menstrual cycles, most of which had data collected (by questionnaires and daily diary) on cycle-specific pregnancy intentions, days of potential fertility, and fertility behaviors. Pregnancies were prospectively actively ascertained.

Results

We found a high concordance (91%) in cycle pregnancy intentions between partners. However, 44% of cycles with strong intentions to avoid pregnancy included intercourse on potentially fertile days or days of undetermined fertility status. Across all sensitivity scenarios, cumulative 13-cycle pregnancy rates with cycle intention to conceive ranged from 88.0% to 89.8%, and cumulative 13-cycle pregnancy rates with cycle intention to avoid ranged from 29.1% to 35.3%. In multivariate analysis, baseline motivations and intentions for pregnancy within 2 years were strongly correlated with the likelihood of pregnancy, more so than cycle intentions.

Conclusion

The findings suggest that in some populations using natural family planning, baseline motivations and intentions may be more strongly related to pregnancy rates than cycle intentions. Our findings also highlight essential elements for evaluating correct use, including complete recording of intercourse and its timing.

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Fertility Awareness › Effectiveness › Typical and Perfect Use · Restorative Reproductive Medicine › NaProTechnology › Cumulative Pregnancy Rates
Joseph B Stanford, Shahpar Najmabadi, Chun-Pin Esther Chang, Daniel Opoku Agyemang, Kathy Rivet, Christina A Porucznik
Joe Stanford, Joey Stanford, J Stanford, S Najmabadi, C Chang, Dan Agyemang, Danny Agyemang, D Agyemang, Katherine Rivet, Kathryn Rivet, K Rivet, C Porucznik
PMID 40729325 40729325 DOI 10.1371/journal.pone.0328806 10.1371/journal.pone.0328806 Stanford et al. 2025, Stanford 2025