Diagnostics · Hormone Testing

The Value of Anti-Müllerian Hormone in the Prediction of Spontaneous Pregnancy: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Lin C, Jing M, Zhu W, Tu X, Chen Q, Wang X, Zheng Y, Zhang R

Frontiers in Endocrinology, 2021
DOI 10.3389/fendo.2021.695157 PMID 34721287 PMC PMC8548671
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RRM Academy Synopsis

AMH blood level predicts natural pregnancy poorly in a meta-analysis

A 2021 meta-analysis of 11 studies found that AMH blood levels predicted natural pregnancy poorly. The studies included 4,388 women trying to conceive naturally. Prediction stayed weak in women under 35 and over 35.

Key Findings

  • Eleven studies (4,388 women) were pooled. The summary area under the curve (AUC) was 0.5932 and the Cochran's Q index was 0.5702.
  • Women younger than 35 years: AUC 0.6355 and Q index 0.6025 (six studies, n=2,908). Women older than 35 years: AUC 0.5536 and Q index 0.5403 (four studies, n=863).
  • Seven prospective studies (n=2,539) gave an AUC of 0.6186 and a Q index of 0.5895. Four studies of other designs (retrospective cohort, case-control, cross-sectional; n=1,849) gave 0.5707 and 0.5531.
  • Deeks' funnel plot did not suggest publication bias (p>0.05). A sensitivity analysis supported the result as robust.
  • The authors suggest low AMH levels are unrelated to reduced fertility in these studies.

Interpretation

The paper is a systematic review and meta-analysis of diagnostic accuracy studies. Its studies used different AMH cutoffs and assays, so the authors pooled them with a summary receiver operating characteristic curve. They call an AUC of 0.5 to 0.7 a limited predictive value. The outcome was clinical pregnancy. Live birth was not assessed. The studies came mainly from western countries, and most split AMH at a single cutoff. Too few studies separated low from extremely low AMH to test that group.

RRM Context

For young women, the authors suggest AMH may track follicle quantity more closely than egg quality. They add that regular ovulation may matter more for spontaneous pregnancy. Restorative reproductive medicine looks at the ovulatory cycle and at the cause of delayed conception in both partners. A single reserve number measures neither.

Abstract

To determine whether serum anti-Müllerian hormone (AMH) level is a predictor of clinical pregnancy in women trying to achieve a natural conception. Eleven studies (4,388 women) were ultimately included in this meta-analysis. The AUC and Cochran Q indices were 0.5932 and 0.5702, respectively. Serum AMH levels have poor predictive value for natural pregnancy. Our findings suggest that low serum AMH levels are not associated with reduced fertility.

Topics

By this author

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Diagnostics › Hormone Testing › Serum Panels · Reproductive Endocrinology › Ovarian Hormones › Estrogen · Fertility Awareness › Biomarkers › Urinary Hormone Monitoring
Ruiting Zhang
R Zhang
PMID 34721287 34721287 DOI 10.3389/fendo.2021.695157 10.3389/fendo.2021.695157 Lin et al. 2021, Lin 2021

Cite this article

Lin, C., Jing, M., Zhu, W., Tu, X., Chen, Q., Wang, X., Zheng, Y., & Zhang, R. (2021). The Value of Anti-Müllerian Hormone in the Prediction of Spontaneous Pregnancy: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis. Frontiers in Endocrinology. https://doi.org/10.3389/fendo.2021.695157